Utilities 2023-10-02: DOWN -1 to VERY WEAK strength rating (8th strongest of 9 levels), previous move was also DOWN

Utilities 2023-10-02: DOWN -1 to VERY WEAK strength rating (8th strongest of 9 levels), previous move was also DOWN
Utilities Industry WEAKENED trading week ended 2023-10-02. 0/5 sub-industries strengthened and 1/5 sub-industries weakened.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

  1. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
    1A. Performance
    1B. Background
  2. SUB-INDUSTRIES AND STOCKS DETAIL
    2A. Sub-Industries Overview
    2B. Sub-Industries 10-Week Strengthening Analysis
    2C. Stocks 1 Week Strongest and Weakest
  3. STRENGTH BY LOOKBACK PERIOD (with Best/Worst stocks)
    3A. Lookback 6 Months
    3B. Lookback 4 weeks
    3C. Lookback 1 Week

1. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW

1A. Performance

Past 10 Weeks Strengthening/Weakening week-by-week, per the following chart:

WEAKENING 1 Week vs. Mid- and Longer-Term // 1 week positive/negative stocks ratio is LOWER than both 4 weeks and 6 Months, per the following chart:

Comment:
- Only 10% of stocks are positive over past 6 months - and this is 10x the past week's positive stocks ratio.
- 79% of stocks are rated Weakest. Only 1% rated Strongest.
- 1 in 3 stocks down more than -25% 6 months, same ratio down more than 10% 4 weeks, and 1 in 4 down more than 10% in 1 week.

1B. Background

Largest of 5 sub-industries (80 stocks, average 16):

  • Diversified Utilities (32 stocks)
  • Electric Utilities (18 stocks)
  • Gas Utilities (11 stocks)

Top 10 by Market Capitalization:
NEE/NextEra Energy, SO/Southern Company The, DUK/Duke Energy Corp, SRE/Sempra Energy, AEP/American Electric Power, EXC/Exelon Corporation, DLR/Digital Realty Trust Inc, XEL/Xcel Energy Inc, PCG/Pacific Gas & Electric Co, WEC/WEC Energy Group Inc


2. SUB-INDUSTRIES AND STOCKS DETAIL

2A. Sub-Industries Overview

Strengthened: 0/5 sub-industries
Weakened: 1/5 sub-industries

STRONGEST at Weaker rating/7th strongest of 9 levels:

  • Diversified Utilities (32 stocks)
  • Foreign Utilities (9 stocks)
  • Gas Utilities (11 stocks)

WEAKEST at Weakest rating/9th strongest of 9 levels:

  • Electric Utilities (18 stocks)
  • Water Utilities (10 stocks)

2B. Sub-Industries 10-Week Strengthening Analysis

What: recent week-by-week strength changes for the industry and each underlying sub-industry
Why: objective measurement of strengthening and weakening enabling comparison within and across industries and sub-industries

2C. Stocks 1 Week Strongest and Weakest

What: stocks currently rated Strongest/Weakest (highest/lowest of 9 strength ratings)
Why: most interesting stocks for available capital because

  • the Strongest have the least amount of overhead supply to dampen breakouts while
  • the Weakest may be prone to volatility, subject to big pops from bottom-fishing and short-covering BUT ALSO to bigger and faster falls.

(Not guaranteed and not a recommendation - weak stocks in weakening sub-industries may be better shorts than high-flyers.)

Strongest to Weakest stocks ratio is 1:63 (1% and 79% of total) 09/25/23 to 10/02/23.

3. STRENGTH BY LOOKBACK PERIOD (with Best/Worst stocks)

3A. Lookback 6 Months

1 stock >+50% and 26 stocks <-25% (1% and 33% of total) 04/05/23 to 10/02/23.

3B. Lookback 4 weeks

0 stocks >+10% and 26 stocks <-10% (0% and 33% of total) 09/05/23 to 10/02/23.

3C. Lookback 1 Week

0 stocks >+10% and 20 stocks <-10% (0% and 25% of total) 09/25/23 to 10/02/23.