Transportation 2023-09-27: UP +1 to AVERAGE strength rating (5th strongest of 9 levels), previous move was DOWN

Transportation 2023-09-27: UP +1 to AVERAGE strength rating (5th strongest of 9 levels), previous move was DOWN
Transportation Industry STRENGTHENED trading week ended 2023-09-27. 1/7 sub-industries strengthened and 4/7 sub-industries weakened.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

  1. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
    1A. Performance
    1B. Background
  2. SUB-INDUSTRIES AND STOCKS DETAIL
    2A. Sub-Industries Overview
    2B. Sub-Industries 10-Week Strengthening Analysis
    2C. Stocks 1 Week Strongest and Weakest
  3. STRENGTH BY LOOKBACK PERIOD (with Best/Worst stocks)
    3A. Lookback 6 Months
    3B. Lookback 4 weeks
    3C. Lookback 1 Week

1. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW

1A. Performance

Past 10 Weeks Strengthening/Weakening week-by-week, per the following chart:

Mixed/STRENGTHENING 1 Week vs. Mid- and Longer-Term // 1 week positive/negative stocks ratio is HIGHER than 4 weeks but LOWER than 6 Months, per the following chart:

Comment:
- Major Airlines imploding over past 9 weeks (has fallen 8 of 9 strength levels). Higher oil price impact?

1B. Background

Largest of 7 sub-industries (83 stocks, average 12):

  • Shipping (34 stocks)
  • Trucking (15 stocks)
  • Air Delivery & Freight Service (11 stocks)
  • Regional Airlines (9 stocks)

Top 10 by Market Capitalization:
UPS/United Parcel Service Inc, UNP/Union Pacific Corp, CNI/Canadian Natl Railway, CP/Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd, FDX/Fedex Corp, CSX/Csx Corp, ODFL/Old Dominion Freight Lines Inc, NSC/Norfolk Southern Corp, DAL/Delta Air Lines Inc, WAB/Wabtec Corporation


2. SUB-INDUSTRIES AND STOCKS DETAIL

2A. Sub-Industries Overview

Strengthened: 1/7 sub-industries
Weakened: 4/7 sub-industries

STRONGEST at Strong rating/4th strongest of 9 levels:

  • Shipping (34 stocks)

WEAKEST at Very Weak rating/8th strongest of 9 levels:

  • Major Airlines (4 stocks)

2B. Sub-Industries 10-Week Strengthening Analysis

What: recent week-by-week strength changes for the industry and each underlying sub-industry
Why: objective measurement of strengthening and weakening enabling comparison within and across industries and sub-industries

Steady decline in 9 weeks for Major Airlines, from Strongest rating to Very Weak (8th strongest of 9 levels).

2C. Stocks 1 Week Strongest and Weakest

What: stocks currently rated Strongest/Weakest (highest/lowest of 9 strength ratings)
Why: most interesting stocks for available capital because

  • the Strongest have the least amount of overhead supply to dampen breakouts while
  • the Weakest may be prone to volatility, subject to big pops from bottom-fishing and short-covering BUT ALSO to bigger and faster falls.

(Not guaranteed and not a recommendation - weak stocks in weakening sub-industries may be better shorts than high-flyers.)

Strongest to Weakest stocks ratio is 14:23 (17% and 28% of total) 09/20/23 to 09/27/23.

3. STRENGTH BY LOOKBACK PERIOD (with Best/Worst stocks)

3A. Lookback 6 Months

5 stocks >+50% and 6 stocks <-25% (6% and 7% of total) 03/31/23 to 09/27/23.

3B. Lookback 4 weeks

7 stocks >+10% and 17 stocks <-10% (8% and 20% of total) 08/30/23 to 09/27/23.

3C. Lookback 1 Week

1 stocks >+10% and 4 stocks <-10% (1% and 5% of total) 09/20/23 to 09/27/23.