SMO Exclusive: SPDR Sector ETFs Strength Report Friday 2024-10-18
Background
- This analysis consists of the Stock Market Organizer stock-by-stock strength analysis applied to the 500 stocks that comprise the 11 SPDR Select ETFs.
- These results are combined with overall market environment readings (via the Market Strength Score and the Sector Risk Gauge) to discern appropriate portfolio exposure given prevailing market and sector conditions.
Current Status - 3.2 Composite Score, +0.5 this week
1Strongest
None
2VeryStrong
- XLU/Utilities (Strengthened rating)
- XLF/Financial (Unchanged)
3Stronger
- XLB/Basic Materials (Strengthened rating)
- XLC/Communications (Strengthened rating)
- XLRE/Real Estate (Strengthened rating)
- XLY/Consumer Discretionary (Strengthened rating)
- XLI/Industrials (Unchanged)
3.2 - Composite Score
4Strong
- XLP/Consumer Staples (Strengthened rating)
- XLV/Healthcare (Strengthened rating)
- XLK/Technology (Unchanged)
5Average
- XLE/Energy (Weakened)
6Weak
None
7Weaker
None
8VeryWeak
None
9Weakest
None
Today's Market Context
Key Headlines
- "Gold’s record-breaking run comes as stocks hit fresh highs. Is it too late for investors?" (Marketwatch)
- "Dow, S&P 500 close at record highs and mark the year’s longest winning streak" (CNBC)
Key Current Readings
SP500: 5,865
Nasdaq: 18,490
Nasdaq 100: 20,324
Russell 2000: 2,276
10Y Treasury: 4.08%
2YT: 3.95%
Oil (WTI Crude): $69
Bitcoin: $68,260
Dollar Index: 103.46
Gold: $2,736
VIX: 18.03
(CNBC)
Sector ETF Analysis Contents
The following Stock Market Organizer strengthening/weakening analysis looks at the 11 SPDR ETFs and their underlying component stocks for the week ending Friday 2024-10-18, as follows:
- ETFs Summary
1.1 Current Overview
1.2 Historical Summaries - ETFs Detail
2.1 XLB Basic Materials
2.2 XLC Communications
2.3 XLE Energy
2.4 XLF Financials
2.5 XLI Industrials
2.6 XLK Technology
2.7 XLP Consumer Staples
2.8 XLRE Real Estate
2.9 XLU Utilities
2.10 XLV Healthcare
2.11 XLY Consumer Discretionary - Stock Detail (download)
1. ETFs Summary
1.1 Current Overview
The following graphs reflect the composition of each of the ETFs based on their underlying stock strength ratings which range from 1Strongest to 9Weakest. Since I only care about the strongest and weakest in each sector, stocks rated from 2VeryStrong through 8VeryWeak are categorized as "Ignore."
- Top row: XLB/Basic Materials, XLE/Energy, and XLI/Industrials
- Second row: interest rate-sensitive ETFs XLF/Financials, XLRE/Real Estate, and XLU/Utilities
- Third row: XLK/Technology and XLC/Communications
- Bottom row: XLP/Consumer Staples, XLY/Consumer Discretionary, and XLV/Healthcare
The headers for each graphic are color-coded. ETFs rated 4Strong or better have green headings - currently, 10 of 11 ETFs qualify. The remaining ETF XLE/Energy has a 5Average rating and was the only one that weakened during the week. ETFs that changed rating this week have thick green or red borders. ETFs that strengthened or weakened but did not change rating have thin green or red borders.
1.2 Historical Summaries
Below are 10-week historical strength rating summaries of the ETFs, sorted first by ETF and then by Week. The graphics make it easy to compare strengthening and weakening between ETFs over the most recent 10 weeks.
Sorted by ETF
This graphic shows the past 10 weeks strengthening and weakening segregated by ETF.
Sorted by Week
This graphic shows the past 10 weeks strengthening and weakening segregated by week.
2. ETFs Detail
Details for each of the 11 ETFs are provided below. Comments:
- The top section shows the strength rating of the sectors comprising each ETF, based on the eight original Stock Market Organizer classifications and NOT the 11 ETF classifications. For example, the XLB Basic Materials ETF consists of 19 Basic Materials stocks, 6 Consumer Goods stocks, and 2 Industrial Goods stocks.
- The middle section shows the previous 10 weeks' strengthening and weakening of the relevant sectors. For example, since the XLB has Basic Materials, Consumer Goods, and Industrial Goods stocks, these three sectors are shown in the middle section of the XLB detail. The XLF (Financial) has Financial, Services, and Tech stocks.
- The bottom section shows strengthening/weakening for the underlying ETF components stocks, and includes the listing of their Stock Market Organizer industries and sub-industries. These stocks are listed in order based on Sub-industry then strongest to weakest comparative stock strength rating. The Basic Materials XLB ETF includes both Newmont Corporation/NEM in the Gold sub-industry within the Metals & Mining industry and Dow Inc./DOW in the Specialty Chemicals sub-industry within the Chemicals industry.
In these bottom sections, one can visually see the strength/strengthening and weakness/weakening of the component stocks in each ETF.
2.1 The Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB) - 27 stocks (small) - strengthened rating to 3Stronger
Includes securities of companies from the following industries: chemicals; metals and mining; paper and forest products; containers and packaging; and construction materials.
2.2 The Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF Fund (XLC) - 22 stocks (small), strengthened rating to 3Stronger
Includes companies that have been identified as Communication Services companies by the GICS®, including securities of companies from the following industries: diversified telecommunication services; wireless telecommunication services; media; entertainment; and interactive media & services.
2.3 The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) - 22 stocks (small), unchanged rating at 5Average = worst rating
Includes companies that have been identified as Energy companies by the GICS®, including securities of companies from the following industries: oil, gas and consumable fuels; and energy equipment and services.
2.4 The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) - 72 stocks (large), unchanged at 2VeryStrong = best rating (tied, XLU/Utilities)
Includes companies that have been identified as Financial companies by the Global Industry Classification Standard, including securities of companies from the following industries: financial services; insurance; banks; capital markets; mortgage real estate investment trusts; and consumer finance.
2.5 The Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) - 76 stocks (large), unchanged rating at 3Stronger
Includes companies that have been identified as Industrial companies by the Global Industry Classification Standard, including securities of companies from the following industries: aerospace and defense; industrial conglomerates; marine transportation.
2.6 The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) - 69 stocks (large), unchanged rating at 4Strong
2.7 The Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) - 38 stocks (mid-sized), strengthened rating to 4Strong
Includes companies that have been identified as Consumer Staples companies by the GICS®.
2.8 The Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLRE) - 31 stocks (small/mid-sized), strengthened rating to 3Stronger
Includes companies that have been identified as Real Estate companies by the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS®).
2.9 The Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) - 31 stocks (small/mid-sized), strengthened rating to 2VeryStrong = best rating (tied, XLF/Financial)
Includes securities of companies from the following industries: electric utilities; water utilities; multi-utilities; independent power and renewable electricity producers; and gas utilities.
2.10 The Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLV) - 61 stocks (large), strengthened rating to 4Strong
Includes companies from the following industries: pharmaceuticals; health care equipment & supplies; health care providers & services; biotechnology; life sciences tools & services; and health care technology.
2.11 The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) - 51 stocks (mid-sized/large), strengthened rating to 3Stronger
Includes companies that have been identified as Consumer Discretionary companies by the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS®).
3. Stock Detail
The downloadable PDF below lists all component stocks in order of first Strongest to Weakest ETF and second Strongest to Weakest Stock. The difference between this report and the 11 ETF stock listings above is this report consolidates all component stocks whereas the above listings are segregated by ETF.
Download the following Excel file if you are interested in sorting results yourself.