SMO Exclusive: Status Change, -30% Market Strength Score 2024-10-02 (No New Longs)

SMO Exclusive: Status Change, -30% Market Strength Score 2024-10-02 (No New Longs)
Based on the results after the trading day Wednesday 2024-10-02 the Market Strength Score is -30% meaning No New Longs.

Current Market Status

No New Longs because the current Stock Market Organizer Market Strength Score is NEGATIVE at -30% as of 2024-10-02 (scale is -100% to +100%).

  • The -30% reading is considered early.
  • Anything can happen in the market at any time for any reason but this "early" reading implies there is slack in the rubber band and a developing decline would have room to run.

Below is the corresponding Sector Risk Gauge.

Previous Directional Change

The most recent change to positive was Friday 2024-09-13 to +46%.

Below is the corresponding Sector Risk Gauge.

Context: Historical Bottoms

Given the negative strength score, see below for what important bottoms have historically looked like through a Market Strength Score and Sector Risk Gauge perspective.

Previous key market bottoms ranging from 2002 through 2022 have distinct "looks" which can provide context for current conditions.

Underlying Key Concepts

๐Ÿ”น Signal duration depends solely on objective market action measurement.
๐Ÿ”น It conveys what โ€œisโ€ โ€“ not โ€œwhy,โ€ or for how long.
๐Ÿ”น It is an objective, repeatable, and reliable tool to

  • enforce discipline,
  • prevent unforced errors,
  • eliminate emotion and confusion, and
  • make sound decisions in all market environments.

This enforced discipline ensures new positions are opened only in the direction of market strengthening or weakening.

If strengthening, only new long positions can be opened.

If weakening, only new short positions can be opened.

Why? Trend respect.

Market weakening does not mean โ€œexit existing long positions.โ€ Only potential new positions are impacted by the critical question of โ€œwhat is the market doing now?โ€

Existing open positions are exited when their behavior negates the entry thesis.