Real Estate 2023-09-22: DOWN -2 to WEAKER strength rating (7th strongest of 9 levels), previous move was UP

Real Estate 2023-09-22: DOWN -2 to WEAKER strength rating (7th strongest of 9 levels), previous move was UP
Real Estate Industry WEAKENED trading week ended 2023-09-22. 0/8 sub-industries strengthened and 7/8 sub-industries weakened.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

  1. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
    1A. Performance
    1B. Background
  2. SUB-INDUSTRIES AND STOCKS DETAIL
    2A. Sub-Industries Overview
    2B. Sub-Industries 10-Week Strengthening Analysis
    2C. Stocks 1 Week Strongest and Weakest
  3. STRENGTH BY LOOKBACK PERIOD (with Best/Worst stocks)
    3A. Lookback 6 Months
    3B. Lookback 4 weeks
    3C. Lookback 1 Week

1. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW

1A. Performance

Past 10 Weeks Strengthening/Weakening week-by-week, per the following chart:

Real Estate industry broke down past the Weak logjam.

WEAKENING 1 Week vs. Mid- and Longer-Term // 1 week positive/negative stocks ratio is LOWER than both 4 weeks and 6 Months, per the following chart:

Poor 1 week performance.

Comments:
- 5% positive stocks is very low.
- Only 2% of stocks are rated Strongest while 49% of stocks are rated Weakest.

1B. Background

Largest of 8 sub-industries (190 stocks, average 24):

  • REIT - Diversified/Industrial (51 stocks)
  • Property Management/Development (34 stocks)
  • REIT - Residential (27 stocks)
  • REIT - Retail (20 stocks)

Top 10 by Market Capitalization:
PLD/ProLogis Inc, AMT/American Tower Corp, BN/Brookfield Corporation, PSA/Public Storage, WELL/Welltower Inc, SPG/Simon Property Group, DLR/Digital Realty Trust Inc, O/Realty Income Corp, CSGP/Costar Group Inc, AVB/Avalonbay Communities


2. SUB-INDUSTRIES AND STOCKS DETAIL

2A. Sub-Industries Overview

Strengthened: 0/8 sub-industries
Weakened: 7/8 sub-industries

STRONGEST at Weak rating/6th strongest of 9 levels:

  • Mortgage Investment (15 stocks)
  • REIT - Healthcare Facilities (15 stocks)

WEAKEST at Weaker rating/7th strongest of 9 levels:

  • Property Management/Development (34 stocks)
  • REIT - Diversified/Industrial (51 stocks)
  • REIT - Hotel/Motel (13 stocks)
  • REIT - Office (15 stocks)
  • REIT - Residential (27 stocks)
  • REIT - Retail (20 stocks)

2B. Sub-Industries 10-Week Strengthening Analysis

What: recent week-by-week strength changes for the industry and each underlying sub-industry
Why: objective measurement of strengthening and weakening enabling comparison within and across industries and sub-industries

2C. Stocks 1 Week Strongest and Weakest

What: stocks currently rated Strongest/Weakest (highest/lowest of 9 strength ratings)
Why: most interesting stocks for available capital because

  • the Strongest have the least amount of overhead supply to dampen breakouts while
  • the Weakest may be prone to volatility, subject to big pops from bottom-fishing and short-covering BUT ALSO to bigger and faster falls.

(Not guaranteed and not a recommendation - weak stocks in weakening sub-industries may be better shorts than high-flyers.)

Strongest to Weakest stocks ratio is 4:93 (2% and 49% of total) 09/15/23 to 09/22/23.

3. STRENGTH BY LOOKBACK PERIOD (with Best/Worst stocks)

3A. Lookback 6 Months

5 stocks >+50% and 12 stocks <-25% (3% and 6% of total) 03/27/23 to 09/22/23.

3B. Lookback 4 weeks

6 stocks >+10% and 23 stocks <-10% (3% and 12% of total) 08/25/23 to 09/22/23.

3C. Lookback 1 Week

0 stocks >+10% and 15 stocks <-10% (0% and 8% of total) 09/15/23 to 09/22/23.