Metals & Mining 2023-09-26: DOWN -1 to WEAK strength rating (6th strongest of 9 levels), previous move was UP

Metals & Mining 2023-09-26: DOWN -1 to WEAK strength rating (6th strongest of 9 levels), previous move was UP
Metals & Mining Industry WEAKENED trading week ended 2023-09-26. 0/7 sub-industries strengthened and 6/7 sub-industries weakened.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

  1. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
    1A. Performance
    1B. Background
  2. SUB-INDUSTRIES AND STOCKS DETAIL
    2A. Sub-Industries Overview
    2B. Sub-Industries 10-Week Strengthening Analysis
    2C. Stocks 1 Week Strongest and Weakest
  3. STRENGTH BY LOOKBACK PERIOD (with Best/Worst stocks)
    3A. Lookback 6 Months
    3B. Lookback 4 weeks
    3C. Lookback 1 Week

1. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW

1A. Performance

Past 10 Weeks Strengthening/Weakening week-by-week, per the following chart:

WEAKENING 1 Week vs. Mid- and Longer-Term // 1 week positive/negative stocks ratio is LOWER than both 4 weeks and 6 Months, per the following chart:

Comments:
- 4 weeks, 29% of total stocks <-10%.
- Silver sub-industry has the Weakest rating (lowest of 9 levels).
- 46% of industry stacks are currently rated Weakest.

1B. Background

Largest of 7 sub-industries (68 stocks, average 10):

  • Industrial Metals & Minerals (22 stocks)
  • Gold (16 stocks)
  • Steel & Iron (11 stocks)
  • Silver (10 stocks)

Top 10 by Market Capitalization:
SCCO/Southern Copper Corp, FCX/Freeport-McMoran Inc, NUE/Nucor Corp, NEM/Newmont Corporation, GOLD/Barrick Gold Corp, FNV/Franco Nevada Corp, AEM/Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd, TECK/Teck Resources Limited, WPM/Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, STLD/Steel Dynamics Inc


2. SUB-INDUSTRIES AND STOCKS DETAIL

2A. Sub-Industries Overview

Strengthened: 0/7 sub-industries
Weakened: 6/7 sub-industries

STRONGEST at Stronger rating/3rd strongest of 9 levels:

  • Nonmetallic Mineral Mining (3 stocks)

WEAKEST at Weakest rating/9th strongest of 9 levels:

  • Silver (10 stocks)

2B. Sub-Industries 10-Week Strengthening Analysis

What: recent week-by-week strength changes for the industry and each underlying sub-industry
Why: objective measurement of strengthening and weakening enabling comparison within and across industries and sub-industries

2C. Stocks 1 Week Strongest and Weakest

What: stocks currently rated Strongest/Weakest (highest/lowest of 9 strength ratings)
Why: most interesting stocks for available capital because

  • the Strongest have the least amount of overhead supply to dampen breakouts while
  • the Weakest may be prone to volatility, subject to big pops from bottom-fishing and short-covering BUT ALSO to bigger and faster falls.

(Not guaranteed and not a recommendation - weak stocks in weakening sub-industries may be better shorts than high-flyers.)

Strongest to Weakest stocks ratio is 13:31 (19% and 46% of total) 09/19/23 to 09/26/23.

STRENGTH BY LOOKBACK PERIOD (with Best/Worst stocks)

3A. Lookback 6 Months

6 stocks >+50% and 14 stocks <-25% (9% and 21% of total) 03/30/23 to 09/26/23.

3B. Lookback 4 weeks

11 stocks >+10% and 20 stocks <-10% (16% and 29% of total) 08/29/23 to 09/26/23.

3C. Lookback 1 Week

1 stock >+10% and 2 stocks <-10% (1% and 3% of total) 09/19/23 to 09/26/23.