Electronics 2023-09-21: DOWN -1 to WEAK strength rating (6th strongest of 9 levels), previous move was also DOWN

Electronics 2023-09-21: DOWN -1 to WEAK strength rating (6th strongest of 9 levels), previous move was also DOWN
Electronics Industry WEAKENED trading week ended 2023-09-21. 0/8 sub-industries strengthened and 5/8 sub-industries weakened.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

  1. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
    1A. Performance
    1B. Background
  2. SUB-INDUSTRIES AND STOCKS DETAIL
    2A. Sub-Industries Overview
    2B. Sub-Industries 10-Week Strengthening Analysis
    2C. Stocks 1 Week Strongest and Weakest
  3. STRENGTH BY LOOKBACK PERIOD (with Best/Worst stocks)
    3A. Lookback 6 Months
    3B. Lookback 4 weeks
    3C. Lookback 1 Week

1. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW

1A. Performance

Past 10 Weeks Strengthening/Weakening week-by-week, per the following chart:

Weakening 3 levels over 7 weeks.

WEAKENING 1 Week vs. Mid- and Longer-Term // 1 week positive/negative stocks ratio is LOWER than both 4 weeks and 6 Months, per the following chart:

Very low % of positive stocks for the past 1 week.

Other Comments:
- Only 8% stocks positive for past 1 week is very low compared to other industries.
- Past 4 weeks huge imbalance in strong vs. weak stocks, only 2% >+10% and 31% <-10%.
- 30% of stocks are currently rated Weakest.

1B. Background

Largest of 8 sub-industries (122 stocks, average 15):

  • Diversified Electronics (24 stocks)
  • Semiconductor Equipment & Materials (23 stocks)
  • Scientific & Technical Instruments (20 stocks)
  • Semiconductor - Specialized (17 stocks)
  • Semiconductor - Integrated Circuits (14 stocks)

Top 10 by Market Capitalization:
NVDA/NVIDIA Corporation, TSM/Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. ADS, AVGO/Broadcom Inc, AMD/Advanced Micro Devices, INTC/Intel Corp, TXN/Texas Instruments Inc, AMAT/Applied Materials Inc, LRCX/Lam Research Corp, ADI/Analog Devices Inc, MU/Micron Technology Inc


2. SUB-INDUSTRIES AND STOCKS DETAIL

2A. Sub-Industries Overview

Strengthened: 0/8 sub-industries
Weakened: 5/8 sub-industries

STRONGEST at Strong rating/4th strongest of 9 levels:

  • Semiconductor - Memory Chips (4 stocks)

WEAKEST at Weaker rating/7th strongest of 9 levels:

  • Semiconductor - Integrated Circuits (14 stocks)
  • Semiconductor - Specialized (17 stocks)

2B. Sub-Industries 10-Week Strengthening Analysis

What: recent week-by-week strength changes for the industry and each underlying sub-industry
Why: objective measurement of strengthening and weakening enabling comparison within and across industries and sub-industries

Much red/weakening throughout for the past 10 weeks.

2C. Stocks 1 Week Strongest and Weakest

What: stocks currently rated Strongest/Weakest (highest/lowest of 9 strength ratings)
Why: most interesting stocks for available capital because

  • the Strongest have the least amount of overhead supply to dampen breakouts while
  • the Weakest may be prone to volatility, subject to big pops from bottom-fishing and short-covering BUT ALSO to bigger and faster falls.

(Not guaranteed and not a recommendation - weak stocks in weakening sub-industries may be better shorts than high-flyers.)

Strongest to Weakest stocks ratio is 9:37 (7% and 30% of total) 09/14/23 to 09/21/23.

3. STRENGTH BY LOOKBACK PERIOD (with Best/Worst stocks)

3A. Lookback 6 Months

5 stocks >+50% and 19 stocks <-25% (4% and 16% of total) 03/24/23 to 09/21/23.

3B. Lookback 4 weeks

2 stocks >+10% and 38 stocks <-10% (2% and 31% of total) 08/23/23 to 09/21/23.

3C. Lookback 1 Week

1 stock >+10% and 16 stocks <-10% (1% and 13% of total) 09/14/23 to 09/21/23.