Banking 2023-09-22: Unchanged at WEAKER strength rating (7th strongest of 9 levels), previous move was DOWN

Banking 2023-09-22: Unchanged at WEAKER strength rating (7th strongest of 9 levels), previous move was DOWN
Banking Industry UNCHANGED trading week ended 2023-09-22. 0/9 sub-industries strengthened and 3/9 sub-industries weakened.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

  1. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
    1A. Performance
    1B. Background
  2. SUB-INDUSTRIES AND STOCKS DETAIL
    2A. Sub-Industries Overview
    2B. Sub-Industries 10-Week Strengthening Analysis
    2C. Stocks 1 Week Strongest and Weakest
  3. STRENGTH BY LOOKBACK PERIOD (with Best/Worst stocks)
    3A. Lookback 6 Months
    3B. Lookback 4 weeks
    3C. Lookback 1 Week

1. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW

1A. Performance

Past 10 Weeks Strengthening/Weakening week-by-week, per the following chart:

Weakness over the past 6 weeks.

WEAKENING 1 Week vs. Mid- and Longer-Term // 1 week positive/negative stocks ratio is LOWER than both 4 weeks and 6 Months, per the following chart:

7% is a low ratio for 1 week and 27% is a low ratio for 6 months.

Comments:
- Low % positive stocks ratio for 1 week and 6 months.
- Only 1% Strongest rated stocks vs. 54% Weakest rated stocks.

1B. Background

Largest of 9 sub-industries (283 stocks, average 31):

  • Regional - Northeast Banks (96 stocks)
  • Regional - Mid-Atlantic Banks (34 stocks)
  • Regional - Pacific Banks (33 stocks)
  • Savings & Loans (31 stocks)
  • Regional - Midwest Banks (28 stocks)

Top 10 by Market Capitalization:
JPM/JPMorgan Chase and Co, BAC/Bank Of America Corp, HSBC/Hsbc Holdings Plc, WFC/Wells Fargo & Company, RY/Royal Bank Of Canada, TD/Toronto Dominion Bank (The), C/Citigroup, MUFG/Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. ADS, SAN/Banco Santander SA, BMO/Bank Of Montreal


2. SUB-INDUSTRIES AND STOCKS DETAIL

2A. Sub-Industries Overview

Strengthened: 0/9 sub-industries
Weakened: 3/9 sub-industries

STRONGEST at Weak rating/6th strongest of 9 levels:

  • Foreign Regional Banks (5 stocks)
  • Money Center Banks (24 stocks)

WEAKEST at Very Weak rating/8th strongest of 9 levels:

  • Regional - Midwest Banks (28 stocks)

2B. Sub-Industries 10-Week Strengthening Analysis

What: recent week-by-week strength changes for the industry and each underlying sub-industry
Why: objective measurement of strengthening and weakening enabling comparison within and across industries and sub-industries

Leftward bias is clear across the sub-industries.

2C. Stocks 1 Week Strongest and Weakest

What: stocks currently rated Strongest/Weakest (highest/lowest of 9 strength ratings)
Why: most interesting stocks for available capital because

  • the Strongest have the least amount of overhead supply to dampen breakouts while
  • the Weakest may be prone to volatility, subject to big pops from bottom-fishing and short-covering BUT ALSO to bigger and faster falls.

(Not guaranteed and not a recommendation - weak stocks in weakening sub-industries may be better shorts than high-flyers.)

Strongest to Weakest stocks ratio is 4:154 (1% and 54% of total) 09/15/23 to 09/22/23.

3. STRENGTH BY LOOKBACK PERIOD (with Best/Worst stocks)

3A. Lookback 6 Months

2 stocks >+50% and 24 stocks <-25% (1% and 8% of total) 03/27/23 to 09/22/23.

3B. Lookback 4 weeks

2 stocks >+10% and 25 stocks <-10% (1% and 9% of total) 08/25/23 to 09/22/23.

3C. Lookback 1 Week

1 stock >+10% and 5 stocks <-10% (0% and 2% of total) 09/15/23 to 09/22/23.